Super Crunchers

Autore: Ian Ayres
Editore: Hachette UK
ISBN: 0719521033
Grandezza: 28,98 MB
Formato: PDF, ePub, Mobi
Vista: 1659
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Companies used to rely on human experts and their years of experience to guide them. Now, cutting-edge organizations are mining the data and crunching numbers instead, to come up with more accurate, less biased predictions. As Freakonomics detailed, statistical analysis can reveal the secret levers of causation. But economist Ian Ayres argues that that's only part of the story - super crunching is revolutionizing the way we all make decisions. Beginning with examples of the mathematician who out-predicted wine buffs in determining the best vintages, and the sports scouts who now use statistics rather than intuition to pick winners, Super Crunchers exposes the world of data-miners, introducing the people and the techniques. It illuminates the hidden patterns all around us. No businessperson, academic, student, or consumer (statistically that's everyone) should make another move without getting to grips with thinking-by-numbers - the new way to be smart, savvy and statistically superior.

The Wisdom Of Yoga

Autore: Stephen Cope
Editore: Bantam Dell Publishing Group
ISBN: 0553801112
Grandezza: 23,77 MB
Formato: PDF, Kindle
Vista: 9754
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The author of Yoga and the Quest for the True Self offers spiritual seekers from all traditions a practical introduction to the wisdom and teachings of the Yogasutra, as he brings together insights from yoga philosophy with modern psychology to offer lessons in ethical living, enhanced creativity, and the discovery of one's higher purpose. 20,000 first printing.

Summary Super Crunchers

Autore: BusinessNews Publishing
Editore: Primento
ISBN: 251101646X
Grandezza: 65,41 MB
Formato: PDF
Vista: 233
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The must-read summary of Ian Ayres' book: "Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-By-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart". This complete summary of the ideas from Ian Ayres' book "Super Crunchers" shows that the number crunchers are starting to consistently outperform the experts. Those who rely on their intuition to make good decisions are now starting to get left behind by a new breed of number crunchers – called “Super Crunchers” – who mine huge databases to reveal underlying relationships. In his book, the author explains the benefits of becoming a super cruncher and having all the answers. This summary demonstrates how you can become one and the benefits this will bring for your company and career. Added-value of this summary: • Save time • Understand key concepts • Expand your knowledge To learn more, read "Super Crunchers" and become a decision-maker with a better way of doing things.

Super Crunchers

Autore: Ian Ayres
Editore:
ISBN: 9780719564642
Grandezza: 51,87 MB
Formato: PDF, Docs
Vista: 1873
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Companies used to rely on human experts and their years of experience to guide them. Now, cutting-edge organizations are mining the data and crunching numbers instead, to come up with more accurate, less biased predictions. As Freakonomics detailed, statistical analysis can reveal the secret levers of causation. But economist Ian Ayres argues that that's only part of the story: super crunching is revolutionizing the way we all make decisions. Beginning with examples of the mathematician who out-predicted wine buffs in determining the best vintages, and the sports scouts who now use statistics rather than intuition to pick winners, Super Crunchers exposes the world of data-miners, introducing the people and the techniques. It illuminates the hidden patterns all around us. No businessperson, academic, student, or consumer (statistically that's everyone) should make another move without getting to grips with thinking-by-numbers - the new way to be smart, savvy and statistically superior.

The Numerati

Autore: Stephen Baker
Editore: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
ISBN: 9780547247939
Grandezza: 22,65 MB
Formato: PDF
Vista: 1456
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Examines the Numerati, a global cadre of mathematicians and computer scientists, and how their analyses and predictions are transforming the way people live, work, buy, and vote.

Carrots And Sticks

Autore: Ian Ayres
Editore: Bantam Dell Publishing Group
ISBN: 0553807633
Grandezza: 27,28 MB
Formato: PDF, Mobi
Vista: 8694
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The part-owner of StickK.com uses research into incentives and punishments to introduce the concept of "commitment contracts," an easy strategy for setting and achieving goals that is already in use by successful companies and individuals across America. Ayres shares engaging, often astounding, real-life stories that show the carrot-and-stick principle in action, from the compulsive sneezer who needed a "stick" (the potential loss of $50 per week to a charity he didn't like) to those who need a carrot with their stick (the New York Times columnist who quit smoking by pledging a friend $5,000 per smoke . . . if she would do the same for him). You'l learn why you might want to hire a "professional nagger" whom you'll do anything to avoid- no, your spouse won't do!- and how you can "hand-tie" your future self to accomplish what you want done now. You'll find out how a New Zealand ad exec successfully "sold his smoking addiction", and why Zappos offered new employees $2,000 to quit cigarettes.

Every Patient Tells A Story

Autore: Lisa Sanders
Editore: Harmony Books
ISBN: 0767922476
Grandezza: 61,78 MB
Formato: PDF, Docs
Vista: 2329
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A Yale School of Medicine physician, columnist for "Diagnosis," and technical advisor for the television show House shares the experiences of doctors facing complex medical mysteries in order to illustrate the art and science of diagnosis. Reprint. A New York Times extended-list bestseller.

Drinking From The Fire Hose

Autore: Christopher J Frank
Editore: Penguin
ISBN: 1101543760
Grandezza: 32,54 MB
Formato: PDF
Vista: 8627
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You're sitting in a windowless conference room. Twenty minutes into the meeting the presenter finally makes it to slide four of a thirty two- slide deck. At least you can read this one, unlike the others, which were crammed with numbers, graphs and charts. You look around, wondering if anyone else is following the presentation. Just about everyone these days suffers from information overload the 24/7 explosion from our computers, smartphones, media, colleagues, and customers. Information is essential to making intelligent decisions, but more often than not, it simply overwhelms us. It's like trying to drink from a fire hose. The question isn't how to stop all those e-mails, meetings, conference calls, and fat reports; that's impossible. The question is what to do with them. How do you find the truly essential nuggets of information and use them with confidence? The solution proposed by Christopher Frank and Paul Magnone sounds deceptively simple: Learn how to ask the right questions at the right time. Whatever field you're in, asking smarter questions will expose you to new information, point you to connections between seemingly unrelated facts, and open new avenues of discussion with your colleagues. The authors explain the seven questions that can help you bring a big- picture perspective to problems that often leave others buried in irrelevant details. And they show through real-life case studies- including Trader Joe's, Starbucks, Kodak, Microsoft, iRobot, and IBM-how their method can have a dramatic impact. It really is possible to convert the fire hose of information into useful insights. Consider a nonbusiness example: the 2010 Icelandic volcano eruption that sent a giant ash cloud toward Europe. Tens of thousands of flights were canceled and five million passengers stranded, leading to billions in economic losses. Europe's best scientists generated oceans of data and carefully modeled the cloud's dispersion pattern. But no one could answer the essential question: Was the concentration of volcanic ash in the air enough to damage a jet engine? Without that key answer, all the carefully gathered facts were useless to the decision makers. Once you adopt the seven questions, you'll start having more productive brainstorming sessions. You'll answer critical questions faster and find unexpected solutions to important problems. And you'll get better at communicating to your colleagues with more clarity and focus, turning down the fire hose that other people have to cope with.

Lifecycle Investing

Autore: Ian Ayres
Editore: ReadHowYouWant.com
ISBN: 1458758427
Grandezza: 61,53 MB
Formato: PDF, Mobi
Vista: 9022
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Diversification provides a well-known way of getting something close to a free lunch: by spreading money across different kinds of investments, investors can earn the same return with lower risk (or a much higher return for the same amount of risk). This strategy, introduced nearly fifty years ago, led to such strategies as index funds. What if we were all missing out on another free lunch that's right under our noses? In Lifecycle Investing, Barry Nalebuff and Ian Ayres - two of the most innovative thinkers in business, law, and economics - have developed tools that will allow nearly any investor to diversify their portfolios over time. By using leveraging when young - a controversial idea that sparked hate mail when the authors first floated it in the pages of Forbes - investors of all stripes, from those just starting to plan to those getting ready to retire, can substantially reduce overall risk while improving their returns. In Lifecycle Investing, readers will learn.

Numbers Rule Your World The Hidden Influence Of Probabilities And Statistics On Everything You Do

Autore: Kaiser Fung
Editore: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 0071745416
Grandezza: 17,70 MB
Formato: PDF, ePub, Mobi
Vista: 6099
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WHAT ARE THE ODDS YOU'LL WIN THE LOTTERY? How long will your kids wait in line at Disney World? Who decides that “standardized tests” are fair? Why do highway engineers build slow-moving ramps? What does it mean, statistically, to be an “Average Joe”? NUMBERS RULE YOUR WORLD In the popular tradition of eye-opening bestsellers like Freakonomics, The Tipping Point, and Super Crunchers, this fascinating book from renowned statistician and blogger Kaiser Fung takes you inside the hidden world of facts and figures that affect you every day, in every way. These are the statistics that rule your life, your job, your commute, your vacation, your food, your health, your money, and your success. This is how engineers calculate your quality of living, how corporations determine your needs, and how politicians estimate your opinions. These are the numbers you never think about-even though they play a crucial role in every single aspect of your life. What you learn may surprise you, amuse you, or even enrage you. But there's one thing you won't be able to deny: Numbers Rule Your World... "An easy read with a big benefit." —Fareed Zakaria, CNN "For those who have anxiety about how organization data-mining is impacting their world, Kaiser Fung pulls back the curtain to reveal the good and the bad of predictive analytics." —Ian Ayres,Yale professor and author of Super Crunchers: Why Thinking By Numbers is the New Way to Be Smart "A book that engages us with stories that a journalist would write, the compelling stories behind the stories as illuminated by the numbers, and the dynamics that the numbers reveal." —John Sall, Executive Vice President, SAS Institute "Little did I suspect, when I picked up Kaiser Fung's book, that I would become so entranced by it - an illuminating and accessible exploration of the power of statistical analysis for those of us who have no prior training in a field that he explores so ably." —Peter Clarke, author of Keynes: The Rise, Fall, and Return of the 20th Century's Most Influential Economist "A tremendous book. . . . If you want to understand how to use statistics, how to think with numbers and yet to do this without getting lost in equations, if you've been looking for the book to unlock the door to logical thinking about problems, well, you will be pleased to know that you are holding that book in your hands." —Daniel Finkelstein, Executive Editor, The Times of London "I thoroughly enjoyed this accessible book and enthusiastically recommend it to anyone looking to understand and appreciate the role of statistics and data analysis in solving problems and in creating a better world." —Michael Sherman, Texas A&M University, American Statistician