The World In 2050

Author: Laurence C. Smith
Editor: Penguin
ISBN: 1101443529
Size: 10,54 MB
Format: PDF
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A vivid forecast of our planet in the year 2050 by a rising star in geoscience, distilling cutting-edge research into four global forces: demographic trends, natural resource demand, climate change, and globalization. The world's population is exploding, wild species are vanishing, our environment is degrading, and the costs of resources from oil to water are going nowhere but up. So what kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren? Geoscientist and Guggenheim fellow Laurence Smith draws on the latest global modeling research to construct a sweeping thought experiment on what our world will be like in 2050. The result is both good news and bad: Eight nations of the Arctic Rim (including the United States) will become increasingly prosperous, powerful, and politically stable, while those closer to the equator will face water shortages, aging populations, and crowded megacities sapped by the rising costs of energy and coastal flooding. The World in 2050 combines the lessons of geography and history with state-of-the-art model projections and analytical data-everything from climate dynamics and resource stocks to age distributions and economic growth projections. But Smith offers more than a compendium of statistics and studies- he spent fifteen months traveling the Arctic Rim, collecting stories and insights that resonate throughout the book. It is an approach much like Jared Diamond took in Guns, Germs, and Steel and Collapse, a work of geoscientific investigation rich in the appreciation of human diversity. Packed with stunning photographs, original maps, and informative tables, this is the most authoritative, balanced, and compelling account available of the world of challenges and opportunities that we will leave for our children.

Surviving The Techstorm

Author: Nicklas Bergman
Editor: LID Publishing
ISBN: 1910649619
Size: 20,41 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Docs
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Are we living in a time that is more exciting, more dangerous and more encouraging than any previous era in world history? We really do not know, but what we do know is that each new era and technological paradigm shift present particular challenges and opportunities. Knowing which path to take or what decisions to make in combination with these new developments is one of the greatest challenges facing business today. This book presents a framework on how to relate to these times of enormous technological uncertainties. The author, a leading futurist and successful tech investor, argues that it is by combining a historical perspective with a curiosity and understanding of technology that we can gain significant insight into possible, probable and/or preferable futures.

Economic Growth And Sustainability

Author: Karen L. Higgins
Editor: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128031085
Size: 16,43 MB
Format: PDF, Mobi
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How to sustain our world for future generations has perplexed us for centuries. We have reached a crossroads: we may choose the rocky path of responsibility or continue on the paved road of excess that promises hardship for our progeny. Independent efforts to resolve isolated issues are inadequate. Different from these efforts and from other books on the topic, this book uses systems thinking to understand the dominant forces that are shaping our hope for sustainability. It first describes a mental model - the bubble that holds our beliefs - that emerges from preponderant world views and explains current global trends. The model emphasizes economic growth and drives behavior toward short-term and self-motivated outcomes that thwart sustainability. The book then weaves statistical trends into a system diagram and shows how the economic, environmental, and societal contributors of sustainability interact. From this holistic perspective, it finds leverage points where actions can be most effective and combines eight areas of intervention into an integrated plan. By emphasizing both individual and collective actions, it addresses the conundrum of how to blend human nature with sustainability. Finally, it identifies primary three lessons we can learn by applying systems thinking to sustainability. Its metaphor-rich and accessible style makes the complex topic approachable and allows the reader to appreciate the intricate balance required to sustain life on Earth. Highlights the application of system thinking in economics Identifies systemic leveraging actions for achieving sustainability Outlines a comprehensive and integrated plan for achieving sustainable stewardship in the future

Just Sustainability

Author: Christiana Peppard, Andrea Vincini
Editor: Orbis Books
ISBN: 1608335593
Size: 19,60 MB
Format: PDF, Docs
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The New Triple Constraints For Sustainable Projects Programs And Portfolios

Author: Gregory T. Haugan
Editor: CRC Press
ISBN: 1466505184
Size: 13,65 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Docs
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The ongoing changes in population, climate, and the availability of energy have resulted in unprecedented threats and opportunities that all project and program managers, portfolio managers, and public planners need to be aware of. The New Triple Constraints for Sustainable Projects, Programs, and Portfolios offers a clear look at how these constraints will impact project undertakings and overlay the current classic constraints of cost, schedule, and performance. The book provides current facts and information on population, climate change, and energy issues—identifying trends and outlining opportunities in the form of a set of overlays (summary conclusions). The overlays are indexed to current changes that collectively represent a major turning point in the way we use resources and our growing need to seek sustainability. Identifying how changes in the new triple constraints will impact long-range planning, the book: Explains the rationale behind population forecasts and the likely impact on global supply and demand Highlights emerging trends in global temperatures and sea level rise, and the impacts on ecology, biology, and the marine environment without political spin Includes SWOT analyses of fossil fuels, nuclear fuel, and renewable fuels to assist in planning programs that depends upon these energy sources Provides expert estimates and forecasts of energy availability and alternatives Discusses the risks of various energy options Contains supporting Appendices and a comprehensive Bibliography Most program life cycles last five to ten years, and infrastructure programs last 40 to 50 years; the text provides a rational basis for approaching the new problems that all program and portfolio managers will soon have to deal with. It will help you identify and recognize these current and projected circumstances and risks so you will understand and be prepared to make the most of the major changes impacting the upcoming decision environment.