The World In 2050

Author: Laurence C. Smith
Editor: Penguin
ISBN: 1101443529
Size: 13,98 MB
Format: PDF, Mobi
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A vivid forecast of our planet in the year 2050 by a rising star in geoscience, distilling cutting-edge research into four global forces: demographic trends, natural resource demand, climate change, and globalization. The world's population is exploding, wild species are vanishing, our environment is degrading, and the costs of resources from oil to water are going nowhere but up. So what kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren? Geoscientist and Guggenheim fellow Laurence Smith draws on the latest global modeling research to construct a sweeping thought experiment on what our world will be like in 2050. The result is both good news and bad: Eight nations of the Arctic Rim (including the United States) will become increasingly prosperous, powerful, and politically stable, while those closer to the equator will face water shortages, aging populations, and crowded megacities sapped by the rising costs of energy and coastal flooding. The World in 2050 combines the lessons of geography and history with state-of-the-art model projections and analytical data-everything from climate dynamics and resource stocks to age distributions and economic growth projections. But Smith offers more than a compendium of statistics and studies- he spent fifteen months traveling the Arctic Rim, collecting stories and insights that resonate throughout the book. It is an approach much like Jared Diamond took in Guns, Germs, and Steel and Collapse, a work of geoscientific investigation rich in the appreciation of human diversity. Packed with stunning photographs, original maps, and informative tables, this is the most authoritative, balanced, and compelling account available of the world of challenges and opportunities that we will leave for our children.

2052 Der Neue Bericht An Den Club Of Rome

Author: Jorgen Randers
Editor:
ISBN: 9783865816658
Size: 13,30 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
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Geographie F R Dummies

Author: Charles A. Heatwole
Editor: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 3527813217
Size: 14,62 MB
Format: PDF, Docs
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Bei der Geografie geht es längst nicht nur darum, zu wissen, wo welches Land oder welcher Fluss zu finden ist. "Geografie für Dummies" erklärt Ihnen, wie das geografische Koordinatensystem aufgebaut ist, wie man damit Orte bestimmt und so Karten richtig deutet. Im Mittelpunkt des Buches stehen die Geofaktoren Boden, Wasser und Klima und deren Wechselwirkungen miteinander: Wie formen Vulkane, Erosion und Wetter die Erdoberfläche? Wie beeinflussen die Ozeane das Klima? Und wie ist es möglich, dass Wüste und Regenwald nur durch eine Bergkette voneinander getrennt sind? Aber auch der Einfluss des Menschen kommt nicht zu kurz, so wird auch die urbane, politische und wirtschaftliche Geografie erläutert. Egal, ob Sie wissen möchten, wie das Klima die Erde beeinflusst oder wo ein günstiger Standort für das nächste Eigenheim wäre, dieses Buch liefert Ihnen alle Antworten.

Eine Kurze Geschichte Der Menschheit

Author: Yuval Noah Harari
Editor: DVA
ISBN: 364110498X
Size: 14,63 MB
Format: PDF
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Krone der Schöpfung? Vor 100 000 Jahren war der Homo sapiens noch ein unbedeutendes Tier, das unauffällig in einem abgelegenen Winkel des afrikanischen Kontinents lebte. Unsere Vorfahren teilten sich den Planeten mit mindestens fünf weiteren menschlichen Spezies, und die Rolle, die sie im Ökosystem spielten, war nicht größer als die von Gorillas, Libellen oder Quallen. Vor 70 000 Jahren dann vollzog sich ein mysteriöser und rascher Wandel mit dem Homo sapiens, und es war vor allem die Beschaffenheit seines Gehirns, die ihn zum Herren des Planeten und zum Schrecken des Ökosystems werden ließ. Bis heute hat sich diese Vorherrschaft stetig zugespitzt: Der Mensch hat die Fähigkeit zu schöpferischem und zu zerstörerischem Handeln wie kein anderes Lebewesen. Anschaulich, unterhaltsam und stellenweise hochkomisch zeichnet Yuval Harari die Geschichte des Menschen nach und zeigt alle großen, aber auch alle ambivalenten Momente unserer Menschwerdung.

Surviving The Techstorm

Author: Nicklas Bergman
Editor: LID Publishing
ISBN: 1910649619
Size: 15,15 MB
Format: PDF, Mobi
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Are we living in a time that is more exciting, more dangerous and more encouraging than any previous era in world history? We really do not know, but what we do know is that each new era and technological paradigm shift present particular challenges and opportunities. Knowing which path to take or what decisions to make in combination with these new developments is one of the greatest challenges facing business today. This book presents a framework on how to relate to these times of enormous technological uncertainties. The author, a leading futurist and successful tech investor, argues that it is by combining a historical perspective with a curiosity and understanding of technology that we can gain significant insight into possible, probable and/or preferable futures.

Economic Growth And Sustainability

Author: Karen L. Higgins
Editor: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128031085
Size: 11,64 MB
Format: PDF, Docs
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How to sustain our world for future generations has perplexed us for centuries. We have reached a crossroads: we may choose the rocky path of responsibility or continue on the paved road of excess that promises hardship for our progeny. Independent efforts to resolve isolated issues are inadequate. Different from these efforts and from other books on the topic, this book uses systems thinking to understand the dominant forces that are shaping our hope for sustainability. It first describes a mental model - the bubble that holds our beliefs - that emerges from preponderant world views and explains current global trends. The model emphasizes economic growth and drives behavior toward short-term and self-motivated outcomes that thwart sustainability. The book then weaves statistical trends into a system diagram and shows how the economic, environmental, and societal contributors of sustainability interact. From this holistic perspective, it finds leverage points where actions can be most effective and combines eight areas of intervention into an integrated plan. By emphasizing both individual and collective actions, it addresses the conundrum of how to blend human nature with sustainability. Finally, it identifies primary three lessons we can learn by applying systems thinking to sustainability. Its metaphor-rich and accessible style makes the complex topic approachable and allows the reader to appreciate the intricate balance required to sustain life on Earth. Highlights the application of system thinking in economics Identifies systemic leveraging actions for achieving sustainability Outlines a comprehensive and integrated plan for achieving sustainable stewardship in the future

Das Ende Der Arbeit Und Ihre Zukunft

Author: Jeremy Rifkin
Editor: Campus Verlag
ISBN: 3593400855
Size: 17,11 MB
Format: PDF, Mobi
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Die Arbeit hat sich im letzten Jahrzehnt weiter verändert. Bereits in 50 Jahren werden weniger als 10 Prozent der Bevölkerung ausreichen, um alle Güter und Dienstleistungen bereitzustellen. Die Konsequenzen für die sozialen Sicherungssysteme sind dramatisch, soziale Konlikte scheinen unvermeidlich. Dass "es nicht mehr genug Arbeit für alle geben wird" erkannte Jeremy Rifkin bereits in seinem Weltbesteller Das Ende der Arbeit - und seine Thesen sind heute aktueller denn je. In der Neuausgabe des in 16 Sprachen übersetzten Bestsellers entwickelt Rifkin seine radikalen Vorschläge weiter und zeigt mit gewohntem wirtschaftlichen und politischen Sachverstand, wie wir verhindern können, dass uns die Arbeit ausgeht. "Rifkins Buch wird uns noch lange beschäftigen." Süddeutsche Zeitung

The New Triple Constraints For Sustainable Projects Programs And Portfolios

Author: Gregory T. Haugan
Editor: CRC Press
ISBN: 1466505184
Size: 20,37 MB
Format: PDF
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The ongoing changes in population, climate, and the availability of energy have resulted in unprecedented threats and opportunities that all project and program managers, portfolio managers, and public planners need to be aware of. The New Triple Constraints for Sustainable Projects, Programs, and Portfolios offers a clear look at how these constraints will impact project undertakings and overlay the current classic constraints of cost, schedule, and performance. The book provides current facts and information on population, climate change, and energy issues—identifying trends and outlining opportunities in the form of a set of overlays (summary conclusions). The overlays are indexed to current changes that collectively represent a major turning point in the way we use resources and our growing need to seek sustainability. Identifying how changes in the new triple constraints will impact long-range planning, the book: Explains the rationale behind population forecasts and the likely impact on global supply and demand Highlights emerging trends in global temperatures and sea level rise, and the impacts on ecology, biology, and the marine environment without political spin Includes SWOT analyses of fossil fuels, nuclear fuel, and renewable fuels to assist in planning programs that depends upon these energy sources Provides expert estimates and forecasts of energy availability and alternatives Discusses the risks of various energy options Contains supporting Appendices and a comprehensive Bibliography Most program life cycles last five to ten years, and infrastructure programs last 40 to 50 years; the text provides a rational basis for approaching the new problems that all program and portfolio managers will soon have to deal with. It will help you identify and recognize these current and projected circumstances and risks so you will understand and be prepared to make the most of the major changes impacting the upcoming decision environment.

War What Is It Good For

Author: Ian Morris
Editor: Profile Books
ISBN: 1847654541
Size: 12,12 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Mobi
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War is one of the greatest human evils. It has ruined livelihoods, provoked unspeakable atrocities and left countless millions dead. It has caused economic chaos and widespread deprivation. And the misery it causes poisons foreign policy for future generations. But, argues bestselling historian Ian Morris, in the very long term, war has in fact been a good thing. In his trademark style combining inter-disciplinary insights, scientific methods and fascinating stories, Morris shows that, paradoxically, war is the only human invention that has allowed us to construct peaceful societies. Without war, we would never have built the huge nation-states which now keep us relatively safe from random acts of violence, and which have given us previously unimaginable wealth. It is thanks to war that we live longer and more comfortable lives than ever before. And yet, if we continue waging war with ever-more deadly weaponry, we will destroy everything we have achieved; so our struggles to manage warfare make the coming decades the most decisive in the history of our civilisation. In War: What Is It Good For? Morris brilliantly dissects humanity's history of warfare to draw startling conclusions about our future.