Cases In Intelligence Analysis

Author: Sarah Miller Beebe
Editor: CQ Press
ISBN: 1483340147
Size: 12,31 MB
Format: PDF
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In their Second Edition of Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Structured Analytic Techniques in Action, accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners Sarah Miller Beebe and Randolph H. Pherson offer robust, class-tested cases studies of events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decision-making support. Designed to give analysts-in-training an opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques and tackle real-life problems, each turnkey case delivers a captivating narrative, discussion questions, recommended readings, and a series of engaging analytic exercises.

Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis

Author: Heuer J Richards
Editor: CQ Press
ISBN: 1608710181
Size: 10,78 MB
Format: PDF, Docs
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Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson turn a lifetime of expertise into formalizing, adapting, and standardizing a set of 50 of the most robust analytic techniques in use in intelligence analysis today. This ready reference showcases current and cutting-edge best practices and represents a significant leap forward in depth, detail and utility from existing handbooks. Logically organized and richly illustrated, Structured Analytic Techniques makes it easy to navigate, reference, and put the tools to use right away. Each technique is clearly and systematically explained: when to use, value added, the method, potential pitfalls, examples of how it can be used, its relationship to other techniques, and its origins. THE TECHNIQUES * Getting Started Checklist * Customer Checklist * Issue Redefinition * Chronologies and Timelines * Sorting * Ranking, Scoring, Prioritizing * Matrices * Network Analysis * Mind Maps and Concept Maps * Process Maps and Gantt Charts * Structured Brainstorming * Virtual Brainstorming * Nominal Group Technique * Starbursting * Cross-Impact Matrix * Morphological Analysis * Quadrant Crunching * Basic Scenario Analysis * Alternative Futures Analysis * Multiple Scenario Generation * Indicators * Indicators Validator * Simple Hypothesis * Multiple Hypotheses Generator * Quadrant Hypothesis Generation * Diagnostic Reasoning * Analysis of Competing Hypotheses * Argument Mapping * Deception Detection * Key Assumptions Check * Structured Analogies * Role Playing * Red Hat Analysis * Outside-In Thinking * Policy Outcomes Forecasting Model * Prediction Markets * Premortem Analysis * Structured Self-Critique * What If? Analysis * High Impact/Low Probability Analysis * Devil's Advocacy * Red Team Analysis * Delphi Method * Adversarial Collaboration * Structured Debate * Complexity Manager * Decision Matrix * Force Field Analysis * Pros-Cons-Faults-and-Fixes * SWOT Analysis

Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis

Author: Randolph H. Pherson
Editor: CQ Press
ISBN: 1506368948
Size: 20,80 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
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The Third Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis by Randolph H. Pherson and Richards J. Heuer Jr showcases sixty-six structured analytic techniques—nine new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis. With more depth, detail, and utility than existing handbooks, each technique is clearly and systematically explained. Logically organized and richly illustrated, and with spiral binding and tabs that separate techniques into categories, this book is an easy-to-use, comprehensive reference.

Critical Thinking For Strategic Intelligence

Author: Katherine Hibbs Pherson
Editor: CQ Press
ISBN: 1506316867
Size: 20,94 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
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With this second edition of Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence, Randolph H. Pherson and Katherine Hibbs Pherson update their highly regarded, easy-to-use handbook for developing core critical thinking skills and analytic techniques. This indispensable text is framed around 20 key questions that all analysts must ask themselves as they prepare to conduct research, generate hypotheses, evaluate sources of information, draft papers, and ultimately present analysis. New material includes a chapter on working with statistics and probabilities at an introductory level; discussions on how to work with social media; managing the “big data” phenomenon and what role analysis plays both at the front and back end of utilizing such information. Each of the book’s chapters are consistently organized, enabling students and analysts alike to easily trace the key steps of: Setting the Stage; Looking More Deeply; Key Takeaways; Considering the Case Study, and the book’s illustrations include useful graphics that diagram and display the processes and structured analytic techniques for arriving at the best possible analytical products. The “Analyst’s Roadmap” provides an at-a-glance “map” for readers depicting the best practices involved in perfecting the analytical product. A set of carefully crafted case studies on national intelligence, homeland security, and law enforcement issues illustrate how to apply these critical thinking skills tie directly to end-of-chapter questions, providing valuable self-assessment opportunities.

Advances In Data Analysis Data Handling And Business Intelligence

Author: Andreas Fink
Editor: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9783642010446
Size: 12,49 MB
Format: PDF, Mobi
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Data Analysis, Data Handling and Business Intelligence are research areas at the intersection of computer science, artificial intelligence, mathematics, and statistics. They cover general methods and techniques that can be applied to a vast set of applications such as in marketing, finance, economics, engineering, linguistics, archaeology, musicology, medical science, and biology. This volume contains the revised versions of selected papers presented during the 32nd Annual Conference of the German Classification Society (Gesellschaft für Klassifikation, GfKl). The conference, which was organized in cooperation with the British Classification Society (BCS) and the Dutch/Flemish Classification Society (VOC), was hosted by Helmut-Schmidt-University, Hamburg, Germany, in July 2008.

Challenges In Intelligence Analysis

Author: Timothy Walton
Editor: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139493116
Size: 11,65 MB
Format: PDF, Mobi
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In Challenges in Intelligence Analysis, Timothy Walton offers concrete, reality-based ways to improve intelligence analysis. After a brief introduction to the main concepts of analysis, he provides more than forty historical and contemporary examples that demonstrate what has, and what has not, been effective when grappling with difficult problems. The examples cover a wide span of time, going back 3,000 years. They are also global in scope and deal with a variety of political, military, economic, and social issues. Walton emphasizes the importance of critical and creative thinking and how such thinking can be enhanced. His 2010 book provides a detailed and balanced idea of intelligence work and will be of particular interest to students who are contemplating a career in intelligence analysis.

The Art Of Intelligence

Author: William J. Lahneman
Editor: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 1442228989
Size: 18,70 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Mobi
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Since the 9/11 attacks, the number of intelligence courses and related curricula have soared. Many instructors look for interactive learning tools because they add immeasurable value to the student’s understanding of the intelligence enterprise. Such tools, however, take time and effort to develop and are not circulated among faculty. This is the first textbook to offer in one volume original simulations, exercises, and games designed by academics and intelligence professionals from several countries. These innovative methods are meant to enhance the learning experience and provide an international perspective to the topics and approaches discussed in class. Intelligence simulations and games are presented in ready-to run formats, from easy instructions to result recordings matrices, to minimize preparation time for both instructors and students. Exercises, such as cyber attack simulation, information sharing, ethical scenarios and more, expose the student to the many subtle aspects of the intelligence enterprise through active role-playing in simulations and game exercises. The cases cover a wide range of key analytical issues and contexts with an international focus for an innovative text that will suit intelligence training courses at all levels.

Intelligence Analysis

Author: National Research Council
Editor: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309210925
Size: 11,46 MB
Format: PDF, ePub, Docs
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The U.S. intelligence community (IC) is a complex human enterprise whose success depends on how well the people in it perform their work. Although often aided by sophisticated technologies, these people ultimately rely on their own intellect to identify, synthesize, and communicate the information on which the nation's security depends. The IC's success depends on having trained, motivated, and thoughtful people working within organizations able to understand, value, and coordinate their capabilities. Intelligence Analysis provides up-to-date scientific guidance for the intelligence community (IC) so that it might improve individual and group judgments, communication between analysts, and analytic processes. The papers in this volume provide the detailed evidentiary base for the National Research Council's report, Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences. The opening chapter focuses on the structure, missions, operations, and characteristics of the IC while the following 12 papers provide in-depth reviews of key topics in three areas: analytic methods, analysts, and organizations. Informed by the IC's unique missions and constraints, each paper documents the latest advancements of the relevant science and is a stand-alone resource for the IC's leadership and workforce. The collection allows readers to focus on one area of interest (analytic methods, analysts, or organizations) or even one particular aspect of a category. As a collection, the volume provides a broad perspective of the issues involved in making difficult decisions, which is at the heart of intelligence analysis.

Intelligence Analysis

Author: Robert M. Clark
Editor: C Q Press College
ISBN:
Size: 12,94 MB
Format: PDF
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For years intelligence analysis has followed a decision-making process that is hierarchical in nature and linear in flow, wherein analysts are insulated from valuable and critical feedback. It's a model that no longer makes sense for today's world. Analysts in all fields work in an environment dramatically changed by technology and greatly impacted by new, politically-charged considerations. A flatter, horizontal, networked solution has proven to be much more effective. In his ground-breaking book, Dr. Robert Clark addresses this crucial shift in focus with clear, straightforward instructions on the advantages of a collaborative, target-centric process that fully attends to the needs of the customer. Designed to give analysts and practitioners state-of-the-art, practical information and skills, Intelligence Analysis guides readers through the art of target modeling and organizational analysis, as well as quantitative and predictive techniques. Intelligence collectors, consumers, and analysts can and should work together to create and share a conceptual model of the intelligence target. Simply put, it's a smarter, more sensible way to collect, synthesize, and utilize intelligence. The author makes extensive use of real-world examples and cases and employs nearly 100 graphic elements to illustrate the versatility and effectiveness of his methodology. A good read, a handy reference source, and a proven toolkit, practitioners in both industry and academia should not miss the opportunity to do intelligence in a more intelligent manner.