Cases In Intelligence Analysis

Autore: Sarah Miller Beebe
Editore: CQ Press
ISBN: 1483340147
Grandezza: 61,36 MB
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Vista: 1391
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In their Second Edition of Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Structured Analytic Techniques in Action, accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners Sarah Miller Beebe and Randolph H. Pherson offer robust, class-tested cases studies of events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decision-making support. Designed to give analysts-in-training an opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques and tackle real-life problems, each turnkey case delivers a captivating narrative, discussion questions, recommended readings, and a series of engaging analytic exercises.

Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis

Autore: Heuer J Richards
Editore: CQ Press
ISBN: 1608710181
Grandezza: 49,22 MB
Formato: PDF, Mobi
Vista: 5871
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Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson turn a lifetime of expertise into formalizing, adapting, and standardizing a set of 50 of the most robust analytic techniques in use in intelligence analysis today. This ready reference showcases current and cutting-edge best practices and represents a significant leap forward in depth, detail and utility from existing handbooks. Logically organized and richly illustrated, Structured Analytic Techniques makes it easy to navigate, reference, and put the tools to use right away. Each technique is clearly and systematically explained: when to use, value added, the method, potential pitfalls, examples of how it can be used, its relationship to other techniques, and its origins. THE TECHNIQUES * Getting Started Checklist * Customer Checklist * Issue Redefinition * Chronologies and Timelines * Sorting * Ranking, Scoring, Prioritizing * Matrices * Network Analysis * Mind Maps and Concept Maps * Process Maps and Gantt Charts * Structured Brainstorming * Virtual Brainstorming * Nominal Group Technique * Starbursting * Cross-Impact Matrix * Morphological Analysis * Quadrant Crunching * Basic Scenario Analysis * Alternative Futures Analysis * Multiple Scenario Generation * Indicators * Indicators Validator * Simple Hypothesis * Multiple Hypotheses Generator * Quadrant Hypothesis Generation * Diagnostic Reasoning * Analysis of Competing Hypotheses * Argument Mapping * Deception Detection * Key Assumptions Check * Structured Analogies * Role Playing * Red Hat Analysis * Outside-In Thinking * Policy Outcomes Forecasting Model * Prediction Markets * Premortem Analysis * Structured Self-Critique * What If? Analysis * High Impact/Low Probability Analysis * Devil's Advocacy * Red Team Analysis * Delphi Method * Adversarial Collaboration * Structured Debate * Complexity Manager * Decision Matrix * Force Field Analysis * Pros-Cons-Faults-and-Fixes * SWOT Analysis

Critical Thinking For Strategic Intelligence

Autore: Katherine Hibbs Pherson
Editore: CQ Press
ISBN: 1452226679
Grandezza: 16,76 MB
Formato: PDF, Docs
Vista: 9756
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Accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners Beebe and Pherson have created a set of twelve robust, class-tested cases on events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decision-making support. The case studies are designed to give analysts-intraining a hands-on opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques to tackle real-life problems. Each case delivers a compelling narrative and a set of step-by-step instructions that make teaching and learning as effective and efficient as possible. Key Features: - Questions at the start of each case challenge the student to think critically and help the students bring the case into focus; - Carefully crafted narratives provide the right amount of detail to give a realistic sense of the complexity and challenges of the case; - Recommended readings at the end of each narrative allow room for further research - Sections entitled "Structured Analytic Techniques in Action" frame the analytic tasks and provide step-by-step instructions for applying three to fi ve analytic techniques in a series of exercises for each case study; - Two hundred photos, maps, figures, tables, boxes, and technique templates support analysis and instruction; and - A matrix of the cases and techniques used in each cases augment the annotated table of contents and provide students and instructors an all-in-one view of the contents.

Studies In Intelligence

Autore:
Editore:
ISBN:
Grandezza: 63,65 MB
Formato: PDF, ePub, Mobi
Vista: 6551
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Challenges In Intelligence Analysis

Autore: Timothy Walton
Editore: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139493116
Grandezza: 25,28 MB
Formato: PDF, ePub, Docs
Vista: 1136
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In Challenges in Intelligence Analysis, Timothy Walton offers concrete, reality-based ways to improve intelligence analysis. After a brief introduction to the main concepts of analysis, he provides more than forty historical and contemporary examples that demonstrate what has, and what has not, been effective when grappling with difficult problems. The examples cover a wide span of time, going back 3,000 years. They are also global in scope and deal with a variety of political, military, economic, and social issues. Walton emphasizes the importance of critical and creative thinking and how such thinking can be enhanced. His 2010 book provides a detailed and balanced idea of intelligence work and will be of particular interest to students who are contemplating a career in intelligence analysis.

Psychology Of Intelligence Analysis

Autore: Richards J. Heuer
Editore: Lulu.com
ISBN: 0160590353
Grandezza: 11,87 MB
Formato: PDF
Vista: 4698
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Analyzing Intelligence

Autore: Roger Z. George
Editore: Georgetown University Press
ISBN: 1589012399
Grandezza: 15,31 MB
Formato: PDF, ePub, Mobi
Vista: 6219
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Drawing on the individual and collective experience of recognized intelligence experts and scholars in the field, Analyzing Intelligence provides the first comprehensive assessment of the state of intelligence analysis since 9/11. Its in-depth and balanced evaluation of more than fifty years of U.S. analysis includes a critique of why it has under-performed at times. It provides insights regarding the enduring obstacles as well as new challenges of analysis in the post-9/11 world, and suggests innovative ideas for improved analytical methods, training, and structured approaches. The book's six sections present a coherent plan for improving analysis. Early chapters examine how intelligence analysis has evolved since its origins in the mid-20th century, focusing on traditions, culture, successes, and failures. The middle sections examine how analysis supports the most senior national security and military policymakers and strategists, and how analysts must deal with the perennial challenges of collection, politicization, analytical bias, knowledge building and denial and deception. The final sections of the book propose new ways to address enduring issues in warning analysis, methodology (or "analytical tradecraft") and emerging analytic issues like homeland defense. The book suggests new forms of analytic collaboration in a global intelligence environment, and imperatives for the development of a new profession of intelligence analysis. Analyzing Intelligence is written for the national security expert who needs to understand the role of intelligence and its strengths and weaknesses. Practicing and future analysts will also find that its attention to the enduring challenges provides useful lessons-learned to guide their own efforts. The innovations section will provoke senior intelligence managers to consider major changes in the way analysis is currently organized and conducted, and the way that analysts are trained and perform.

Intelligence And Intelligence Analysis

Autore: Patrick F. Walsh
Editore: Routledge
ISBN: 1136718559
Grandezza: 74,84 MB
Formato: PDF, Docs
Vista: 6038
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This book tracks post 9/11 developments in national security and policing intelligence and their relevance to new emerging areas of intelligence practice such as: corrections, biosecurity, private industry and regulatory environments. Developments are explored thematically across three broad sections: applying intelligence understanding structures developing a discipline. Issues explored include: understanding intelligence models; the strategic management challenges of intelligence; intelligence capacity building; and the ethical dimensions of intelligence practice. Using case studies collected from wide-ranging interviews with leaders, managers and intelligence practitioners from a range of practice areas in Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the UK and US, the book indentifies examples of good practice across countries and agencies that may be relevant to other settings. Uniquely bringing together significant theoretical and practical developments in a sample of traditional and emerging areas of intelligence, this book provides readers with a more holistic and inter-disciplinary perspective on the evolving intelligence field across several different practice contexts. Intelligence and Intelligence Analysis will be relevant to a broad audience including intelligence practitioners and managers working across all fields of intelligence (national security, policing, private industry and emerging areas) as well as students taking courses in policing and intelligence analysis.

Terrorism Risk Modeling For Intelligence Analysis And Infrastructure Protection

Autore: Henry H. Willis
Editore: Rand Corporation
ISBN: 0833039741
Grandezza: 10,10 MB
Formato: PDF, ePub, Docs
Vista: 9634
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The Department of Homeland Security is moving increasingly to risk analysis and risk-based resource allocation, a process that is designed to manage the greatest risks instead of attempting to protect everything. The authors show how a probabilistic terrorism model can be used to assess terrorist risk across cities and within specific cities, and to assist intelligence analysis.

Advances In Intelligent Analysis Of Medical Data And Decision Support Systems

Autore: Roumen Kountchev
Editore: Springer
ISBN: 3319000292
Grandezza: 79,43 MB
Formato: PDF, ePub
Vista: 3848
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This volume is a result of the fruitful and vivid discussions during the MedDecSup'2012 International Workshop bringing together a relevant body of knowledge, and new developments in the increasingly important field of medical informatics. This carefully edited book presents new ideas aimed at the development of intelligent processing of various kinds of medical information and the perfection of the contemporary computer systems for medical decision support. The book presents advances of the medical information systems for intelligent archiving, processing, analysis and search-by-content which will improve the quality of the medical services for every patient and of the global healthcare system. The book combines in a synergistic way theoretical developments with the practicability of the approaches developed and presents the last developments and achievements in medical informatics to a broad range of readers: engineers, mathematicians, physicians, and PhD students.

Assessing The Tradecraft Of Intelligence Analysis

Autore: Gregory F. Treverton
Editore: Rand Corporation
ISBN: 0833046012
Grandezza: 61,93 MB
Formato: PDF, ePub
Vista: 2678
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This report assesses intelligence analysis across the main U.S. intelligence agencies and makes a number of recommendations, some of which parallel initiatives that have begun in the wake of the December 2004 legislation, for instance, create a Deputy Director of National Intelligence as a focal point for analysis, establish a National Intelligence University, build a Long Term Analysis Unit at the National Intelligence Council, and form an Open Source Center for making more creative use of open-source materials.

The Art And Science Of Intelligence Analysis

Autore: Julian Richards
Editore: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199578451
Grandezza: 64,81 MB
Formato: PDF, Docs
Vista: 8585
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Written for trainers and analysts in British policing and security services, this book takes a practical look at intelligence analysis by synthesising the key issues and providing context. With case studies and scenario-based exercises, the author presents practical recommendations for training and analysis.

Studies In Intelligence

Autore: Center for the Study of Intelligence (U.S.)
Editore: Government Printing Office
ISBN: 9780160877285
Grandezza: 60,87 MB
Formato: PDF, Docs
Vista: 3765
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Professional journal for members of the intelligence community which contains unclassified articles and book reviews about intelligence work and intelligence history.

Critical Thinking And Intelligence Analysis

Autore: David T. Moore
Editore: Lulu.com
ISBN: 1257781804
Grandezza: 51,46 MB
Formato: PDF, Docs
Vista: 1900
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Scientific Methods Of Inquiry For Intelligence Analysis

Autore: Hank Prunckun
Editore: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 1442224339
Grandezza: 35,64 MB
Formato: PDF, ePub, Mobi
Vista: 9128
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Since 9/11, the needs of intelligence agencies as well as the missions they conduct have increased in number, size, and complexity. This expanded and updated edition offers a way of gaining the analytic skills essential to undertake intelligence work. It acquaints students and analysts with how intelligence fits into the larger research framework, covering not only the essentials of applied research, but also the function, structure, and operational methods specifically involved in intelligence work. It looks at how analysts work with classified information in a security conscious environment as well as obtain data via covert methods.

The Five Disciplines Of Intelligence Collection

Autore: Mark M. Lowenthal
Editore: CQ Press
ISBN: 1483322076
Grandezza: 59,19 MB
Formato: PDF
Vista: 8863
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Leading intelligence experts Mark M. Lowenthal and Robert M. Clark bring you an all new, groundbreaking title. The Five Disciplines of Intelligence Collection describes, in non-technical terms, the definition, history, process, management, and future trends of each intelligence collection source (INT). Authoritative and non-polemical, this book is the perfect teaching tool for classes addressing various types of collection. Chapter authors are past or current senior practitioners of the INT they discuss, providing expert assessment of ways particular types of collection fit within the larger context of the U.S. Intelligence Community.

Intelligence Analysis

Autore: Robert M. Clark
Editore: C Q Press College
ISBN:
Grandezza: 67,59 MB
Formato: PDF
Vista: 1207
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For years intelligence analysis has followed a decision-making process that is hierarchical in nature and linear in flow, wherein analysts are insulated from valuable and critical feedback. It's a model that no longer makes sense for today's world. Analysts in all fields work in an environment dramatically changed by technology and greatly impacted by new, politically-charged considerations. A flatter, horizontal, networked solution has proven to be much more effective. In his ground-breaking book, Dr. Robert Clark addresses this crucial shift in focus with clear, straightforward instructions on the advantages of a collaborative, target-centric process that fully attends to the needs of the customer. Designed to give analysts and practitioners state-of-the-art, practical information and skills, Intelligence Analysis guides readers through the art of target modeling and organizational analysis, as well as quantitative and predictive techniques. Intelligence collectors, consumers, and analysts can and should work together to create and share a conceptual model of the intelligence target. Simply put, it's a smarter, more sensible way to collect, synthesize, and utilize intelligence. The author makes extensive use of real-world examples and cases and employs nearly 100 graphic elements to illustrate the versatility and effectiveness of his methodology. A good read, a handy reference source, and a proven toolkit, practitioners in both industry and academia should not miss the opportunity to do intelligence in a more intelligent manner.

Analytic Support To Intelligence In Counterinsurgencies

Autore: Walt L. Perry
Editore: Rand Corporation
ISBN: 0833044567
Grandezza: 17,47 MB
Formato: PDF, ePub, Docs
Vista: 6167
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Operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have shown that U.S. forces need more-effective techniques and procedures to conduct counterinsurgency. It is likely that U.S. forces will face similar, irregular warfare tactics from future enemies that are unwilling to engage in conventional combat with U.S. forces. This monograph examines the nature of the contemporary insurgent threat and provides insights on using operational analysis techniques to support intelligence operations in counterinsurgencies. The authors examine the stages of an insurgency and discuss the kinds of intelligence that are needed at each stage. A number of techniques--pattern discernment and predictive analysis, for example--appear to show promise of being useful to intelligence analysis. The authors also explore two closely connected methods in depth to examine the interactions between friendly and enemy forces: game theory and change detection.

The Art Of Intelligence

Autore: William J. Lahneman
Editore: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 1442228989
Grandezza: 34,41 MB
Formato: PDF, ePub, Mobi
Vista: 3452
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Since the 9/11 attacks, the number of intelligence courses and related curricula have soared. Many instructors look for interactive learning tools because they add immeasurable value to the student’s understanding of the intelligence enterprise. Such tools, however, take time and effort to develop and are not circulated among faculty. This is the first textbook to offer in one volume original simulations, exercises, and games designed by academics and intelligence professionals from several countries. These innovative methods are meant to enhance the learning experience and provide an international perspective to the topics and approaches discussed in class. Intelligence simulations and games are presented in ready-to run formats, from easy instructions to result recordings matrices, to minimize preparation time for both instructors and students. Exercises, such as cyber attack simulation, information sharing, ethical scenarios and more, expose the student to the many subtle aspects of the intelligence enterprise through active role-playing in simulations and game exercises. The cases cover a wide range of key analytical issues and contexts with an international focus for an innovative text that will suit intelligence training courses at all levels.

Striking First

Autore: Karl P. Mueller
Editore: Rand Corporation
ISBN: 9780833040954
Grandezza: 25,10 MB
Formato: PDF
Vista: 651
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RAND Project AIR FORCE studied the post-9/11 shift in U.S. defense policy emphasis toward preemptive and preventive attack, asking under what conditions preemptive or preventive attack is worth considering as a response to perceived threats. It considered the role such first-strike strategies are likely to play in future U.S. national security policy. Finally, it identified implications these conclusions have for military planners and policymakers as they prepare to deal with national security threats in the next decade.