Global Catastrophes And Trends

Author: Vaclav Smil
Editor: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262518228
File Size: 20,73 MB
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A wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at global changes that may occur over the next fifty years—whether sudden and cataclysmic world-changing events or gradually unfolding trends. Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a “fatal discontinuity,” a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a persistent, gradual trend. Global catastrophes include volcanic eruptions, viral pandemics, wars, and large-scale terrorist attacks; trends are demographic, environmental, economic, and political shifts that unfold over time. In this provocative book, scientist Vaclav Smil takes a wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at the catastrophes and trends the next fifty years may bring. Smil first looks at rare but cataclysmic events, both natural and human-produced, then at trends of global importance, including the transition from fossil fuels to other energy sources and growing economic and social inequality. He also considers environmental change—in some ways an amalgam of sudden discontinuities and gradual change—and assesses the often misunderstood complexities of global warming. Global Catastrophes and Trends does not come down on the side of either doom-and-gloom scenarios or techno-euphoria. Instead, Smil argues that understanding change will help us reverse negative trends and minimize the risk of catastrophe.
Global Catastrophes and Trends
Language: en
Pages: 320
Authors: Vaclav Smil
Categories: Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2012-09-14 - Publisher: MIT Press

A wide-ranging, interdisciplinary look at global changes that may occur over the next fifty years—whether sudden and cataclysmic world-changing events or gradually unfolding trends. Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a “fatal discontinuity,” a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a
Global Catastrophes and Trends
Language: en
Pages: 320
Authors: Vaclav Smil
Categories: Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2008 - Publisher:

Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a "fatal discontinuity," a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a persistent, gradual trend. Global catastrophes include volcanic eruptions, viral pandemics, wars, and large-scale terrorist attacks; trends are demographic, environmental, economic, and political shifts that
Maxwell's Demon and the Golden Apple
Language: en
Pages: 216
Authors: Randall L. Schweller
Categories: Political Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2014-05-01 - Publisher: JHU Press

Maxwell’s Demon and the Golden Apple will appeal to leaders of multinational corporations and government programs as well as instructors of undergraduate courses in international relations.
Climate Change and the Course of Global History
Language: en
Pages: 631
Authors: John L. Brooke
Categories: History
Type: BOOK - Published: 2014-03-17 - Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Climate Change and the Course of Global History presents the first global study by a historian to fully integrate the earth-system approach of the new climate science with the material history of humanity. Part I argues that geological, environmental, and climatic history explain the pattern and pace of biological and
Energy Myths and Realities
Language: en
Pages: 213
Authors: Vaclav Smil
Categories: Political Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2010 - Publisher: Aei Press

Reality: Comprehensive energy transitions take several generations. --